Why Can’t We Teach History Based On What Happened In The Past?

When the 1619 Project was released by the New York Times, it was seen as a revolutionary look at the origins of slavery and its deeper impact to the founding of the United States of America than many people realize.

It also raised concerns across the same United States of America about how the history of slavery and Black people is being taught.

There were initial calls for public school districts to not use lesson plans based on the publishing of the 1619 Project even though those lesson plans do not exist.

This has been transformed into legislation to limit and outright ban teaching of critical race theory in public schools, which is loosely defined as the retelling of historical facts and events in a light that places undue stress and pain on White students today as they learn about the not-so-nice facts about the actions of White people of days long gone by against other races (mostly Blacks, but many Indigenous cultures are studied as well).

This is a better definition of the problem, but still not a problem, as there is not a widespread curriculum on critical race theory apart from Graduate and Juris Doctorate level study.

To make matters worse, the people calling for less talk on race-based history are doing a horrible job of explaining themselves by consistently putting their feet in their mouths. Saying things out loud and in public about Native America not putting much work into the land while White culture performed miracles (said a former United States Senator), hailing the merits of the Three-Fifths Compromise as a pollical poison pill that would eventually kill slavery (a least to members of State legislatures that I’ve seen reported), and a Black Republican Gubernatorial candidate with an official campaign issue to eliminate critical race theory from the public school curriculum of his state, which previously stated, does not exist.

To be fair to the third example, my initial source for his argument was a television interview that quickly turned into an argument with a liberal Black journalist. The journalist got kudos from his echo chamber, but it was not a good look for either party from a broader angled view.

I worked with a young lady whose birthday falls around Columbus Day. Everyone remembers being taught in First Grade that, “In 1492, Columbus sailed the ocean blue.” Then in the Eighth Grade, teachers admit that Columbus was lost and had no idea where he was when he arrived on the land of the Americas.

In the Tenth Grade, a discussion of Columbus Day being a week away came up in her World History Class, which she half-jokingly asked if they could use it as an excuse to throw her a birthday party. The teacher informed her there was no need to celebrate a murderer and rapist who got famous for not knowing how to follow a map, and without missing a beat, she asked, “But can we still have a party for my birthday?”

The point of that diversion is that we oversimply and sugar coat so much history for children to learn that when they are young adults and ready to comprehend the nuances of how it really happened. Old folks who do not want any apple carts overturned lose their collective minds.

This how we get notions of the romance of the Confederate South (the Confederates were literal traitors to the United States), Hitler did some good things but pushed it a little too far (with the genocide and the overthrowing of other sovereign nations), and Donald Trump will save America for the cabal of pedophilic, vampiric Democrats who have this nation bamboozled.

Nation bamboozling, maybe. Drinking the blood of babies, highly dramatic and unlikely.

Let us go with this: slavery is bad. Slavery was bad then, but the collective conscience went along with it, and many people fought and died to keep it anyway. You can have a love for your history and your ancestors and be real about the impact the way they lived their lives affected the world then and the ripples to how it affects the world today.

And no, I am not going to go there with reparations. But if you want to go there, or anywhere with this conversation, email me at jclevelandpayne@gmail.com.

Never Sure How Much Until It Is Gone

Time is a curious resource.

You can manage it, budget it, and do a great job of using it to be productive and prosperous.

But you do not know when your available time will run out.

You can train all your life for a limited spot in an elite field and find some fluke of time and circumstance ending your career opportunities before you were given a chance to complete the audition process.

You can build a relationship with a person that you believe will last long term, only to find they have soured on it and will suggest you move on before you can propose exclusivity.

You can early plan a dream vacation for next week and be struck dead by some seemingly random act of the universe before you get a chance to begin.

We all have the same amount of daily time at our disposal. We all have the ability to use or waste that time as we see fit.

We also all have a finite amount of available time to put forth in the pursuit of ‘life, ‘which always seems infinite when we are young, insufficient as we get older, and unknowable as to how much we really have left in reserve.

And whatever is left always seems like it was expended way too soon by those left behind.

What are your thoughts on time? Email me at jclevelandpayne@gmail.com and lets have a real conversation about it, IMMEDIATELY.

The Crowd Pays To See The Amateur Fail

You are more likely to get heckled by a random drunk in the audience on open mic night than you would as a headliner for a national tour.


You may be just as funny in both situations, even if much less polished, but as a rookie trying to make a name for yourself, you are more open to attacks from the crowd than an established star.

You become more open again as a star in decline. As a has been. As a washed-up version of a main eventer.

This is because people pay to see the star succeed (i.e., entertain them) and pay to see a comic trying to get their footing or keep what they have left fail. Watching people struggle is just as entertaining as watching them succeed, in a sick twisted sense.

Have you noticed this on you way up, or down? Email me at jclevelandpayne@gmail.com and we can go deeper.

Why Can’t We Have Nice Things?

This week marked the 100th day of President Joe Biden’s term in office. To mark the occasion, Biden gave a speech in front of a joint session of Congress, much like a State of the Union address, but with a crowd of about 200 instead of the room capacity of about 1,600.

Also, like a State of the Union address, there was a response by the opposing party (a horrible term, but oddly fitting). This task fell to Tim Scott, one of the Republican Senators from South Carolina and currently the only Black member of the Senate.

And that is the bulk of the problem.

The point of a rebuttal is to tear down an argument. The point of the response is to offer a rebuttal of everything the current President says, spinning it as destructive ideas and horrible policy regardless of what is said.

It gets ridiculous pretty quickly, as the response never gets to acknowledge the humanity of the President, just tears down the man in an attempt to appease your own supportive followers, especially the more rabid ones.

Here’s where it got weird on Wednesday night: the view on race. Biden, the old white guy, delivered a message that didn’t label America as a land of racists, but a land where non-whites are at a severe disadvantage, and whites now at a point in history where it is time to come to terms. As part of Scott’s rebuttal, he described a nation where one group of people are unfairly persecuted for trying to uphold a standard of values that are at the core noble and just (presumed to mean ‘white,’ but not actually saying it).

As you might expect, those of the darker-skinned complexion had an issue with ‘Uncle Tim’ and his choice of teams to pull for, while the lighter-skinned ones have a new champion for the rights of the unoppressed to feel oppressed.

The silliness of the issue is only made more poignant because Tim Scott put himself in that position. A position that many other Black Americans take willingly, some because they are true believers in the overall cause and need to sell it, some because it is so easy just to sell out if the payoff is so good.

As a person who has chosen pollical independence at the cost of having a real choice in primary elections, I wish I had an answer to this. I don’t, and this is actually a cop-out article that offers no resolution.

All I know is we need to figure out what we’re doing now.

Agree? Disagree? I invite you to email me at jclevelandpayne@gmail.com if you would like to chat further. 

Survivorship Bias & Judging The 2021 NFL Rookie Class After The Fact

NFL Draft is this week. Seven rounds where each of the league’s 32 teams will see how well their talent evaluation processes work as they create a few dozen instant millionaires. The drafted, selected from the ranks of college football, still must prove their worth, as the 254 total players who will have their rights owned by a particular team for the next three years still has to make a roster of 53, with the bulk of the 53 assuming they are still on those rosters not in a hurry to give up their spot.


But the draft is not perfect. Many teams rely on ‘sleeper’ to emerge that are picked up late in the process but end up outshining first-round picks in actual performance. Tom Brady’s status as the greatest quarterback of all time was not predestined, as he was considering being an insurance agent before finally being selected by the New England Patriots with the 199 pick in the 2000 draft. He also had to be ready to take over in an instant when an injury to starter Drew Bledsoe meant he had to take the field and the tenacity to make sure he stayed on the field when Bledsoe eventually healed.

But the biggest fear is for a team to pick a player who turns out to be a bust when another player who turns out to be a boon was still in the pool. Here are five examples from the past 20 seasons.

  • The Philadelphia Eagles traded up 15 spots to take defensive end Jerome McDougle with the No. 15 overall pick in the 2003 draft. At No. 16, the Steelers selected safety Troy Polamalu, who spent his entire 12-year Hall of Fame career in Pittsburgh and was one of the more dominant players of his day.
  • The Oakland Raiders hoped they were getting someone who could man left tackle for them for the foreseeable future when they picked Robert Gallery as the No. 2 overall pick in 2004. Wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald, who was picked No. 3 overall by the Arizona Cardinals and was one of the more dependable and durable wide receivers of his era.
  • Two years later, the Raiders took cornerback Fabian Washington one pick before quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who went to Green Bay. Washington played just three seasons with the Raiders before going elsewhere, while Rodgers would have been playing backup to Rich Gannon and ready to take over after he announced his retirement instead of Kerry Collins
  • Three years after that, the Raiders made what is considered one of the greatest busts in NFL history. Quarterback JaMarcus Russell was the number 1 overall draft pick of his class, but his performance highlights were all from pre-draft day. Number two that year went to the Detroit Lion, who selected Calvin Johnson, who is considered one of the greatest wide receivers of his era and is a recent inductee to the Pro Football Hall of Fame.
  • Later in the 2007 draft, defensive end Adam Carriker was selected number 13 by the St. Louis Rams, ending with what most consider a modest seven-year NFL career. What makes this pick a bust was the man selected next by the New York Jets, legendary cornerback Darrelle Revis, who spent 11 years in the league, was named to the Pro Bowl seven times and was a four-time first-team All-Pro selection.

But remember, hindsight is 50/50. None of these players I highlight were a given to perform extraordinary or terrible and were always one fluke play away from greatness or disaster. Looking back at the career of a stellar athlete and comparing it to a flameout is a classic example of survivorship bias. There is a false conclusion on just how good or bad they are based on the actual circumstances as history recorded them.

Bledsoe’s injury is a fine example of this. If he does not get hurt, Brady may not get a chance to start for the Patriots in 2001, probably does get a chance to play at 20-plus seasons of football, and unlikely to get a shot at being the oldest quarterback to appear and win a championship in Super Bowl LV.

Survivorship bias is seen frequently as we attempt to evaluate business success. Unless due to some catastrophic or extremely quirky failure, we quickly forget a company that is no longer operating when gauging the success of others. So, the companies that thrive seem to have done everything right when very few ventures statically succeed. Most in the current business span do not even look to win, but just to be bought out and purposely forgotten. There are more Mr. Irrelevant style businesses that no one expects much out of, so they quickly forget those top-round companies that flame out spectacularly.

The Raiders did not draft Larry Fitzgerald in 2004 because they did not see a need for a top wide receiver for pick number 2. Chances are since they did not seem to need him, they probably would not have much use for him, and his proficiency would not have been showcased. The same can be said for the pick of JaMarcus Russell, as the Raiders we in serious need of a quarterback of the future, not having someone to throw the ball to Calvin Johnson.

Please do not get fooled by the businesses and people running them that you see as successful because you never really get to examine the failed ones, or even the ones doing fine but operating totally on stealth.

I personally thing the bigest draft busts are in the NBA

Portland Trail Blazers taking Greg Oden over Kevin Durant in 2007, and previously in 1984 selecting Sam Bowie Michael Jordan. In 1983 they drafted Clyde Drexler and in 2007 Oden was seen as a bet that if paid off would have been huge. But what we know now, we know now.

Who do you want your NFL team to take off the board in this week’s draft? This could be a real debate. Email me at jclevelandpayne@gmail.com, and we’ll talk.